Association of Polar Early Career Scientists

Polar Week Fall 2016 Figure Competition

Gautier Davesne
Université de Montréal

Spatial modelling of the mean annual ground surface (MAGST) on the plateau of Mont Jacques-Cartier (Gaspé Peninsula, Quebec) according to the mean annual air temperature (MAAT) for the 1980-2012 normal period ; and for 3 scenarios of MAAT rise (1 °C, 2°C and 3 °C warmer than the normal). The black line represents the 0 °C isotherm, which delimits the areas with favourable surface conditions for permafrost preservation. Note that the “+1°C scenario” is close to the current conditions.

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